Week 8 NFL Picks- MAN VS MACHINE

This week's games to watch are the SD@BAL and CIN@PIT These two are pretty much a coin toss.

Score:  MAN  48 (71%)  MACHINE  46 (67%)

Game	Machine Pick	Probability (Home)	Strength	Man PICK
MIA @ NE	NE	78.8%	Strong	NE
CIN @ PIT	CIN	54.2%	Weak	CIN
DET @ KC	KC	64.5%	Weak	KC
SF @ STL	SF	54.3%	Very Weak	STL
TB @ ATL	ATL	71.0%	Medium	ATL
NYJ @ OAK	NYJ	69.6%	Weak	NYJ
SD @ BAL	BAL	52.4%	Very Weak	SD
SEA @ DAL	SEA	69.9%	Weak	SEA
MIN @ CHI	MIN	61.8%	Very Weak	MIN
GB @ DEN	GB	66.6%	Weak	GB
ARI @ CLE	ARI	57.5%	Weak	ARI
TEN @ HOU	TEN	58.3%	Weak	HOU
IND @ CAR	CAR	65.9%	Weak	CAR
NYG @ NO	NYG	66.0%	Medium	NO

Week 8 Power Rankings

As usual we will compare to the current "expert" rankings on ESPN. 

Week 8 Power Rankings:
 Note: Disagree is denoted by a disagreement of >5 spots between ranking systems.

	Rankings	Sprockets Ranking	Disagree	ESPN Ranking
	1	NE		NE
	2	GB		GB
	3	SEA	***	CIN
	4	CIN		DEN
	5	NYJ		CAR
	6	NYG	***	ARI
	7	PIT		ATL
	8	ATL		NYJ
	9	CAR		SEA
	10	SF	***	PIT
	11	DEN	***	MIN
	12	BUF	***	STL
	13	PHI		MIA
	14	KC	***	NYG
	15	STL		PHI
	16	DAL		OAK
	17	WAS	***	NO
	18	MIN	***	IND
	19	ARI	***	BUF
	20	TEN	***	DAL
	21	NO		SD
	22	MIA	***	KC
	23	BAL		WAS
	24	OAK	***	CLE
	25	SD		CHI
	26	IND	***	BAL
	27	JAX		SF
	28	CLE		TB
	29	DET		HOU
	30	HOU		TEN
	31	TB		DET
	32	CHI		JAX

Take home message:  49ers and Bills may be over rated. Seahawks and Giants are likely underrated! Also too early to get high on the 'phins! 

Week 7 NFL Picks- MAN VS MACHINE

Week 6 had Machine take the lead by 1.

This week's games to watch are the NYJ @NE and CLE @ STL. These two are pretty much a coin toss.

Score:  MAN  40 (71%)  MACHINE  39 (71%)

Game Machine Pick Probability (Home) Strength Man PICK BUF @ JAX BUF 71.3% Medium BUF TB @ WAS WAS 70.9% Medium WAS ATL @ TEN ATL 68.6% Strong ATL NO @ IND IND 52.8% Very Weak IND MIN @ DET MIN 63.8% Medium MIN PIT @ KC PIT 72.6% Strong PIT CLE @ STL CLE 53.1% Very Weak STL HOU @ MIA MIA 58.9% Weak MIA NYJ @ NE NE 53.1% Very Weak NE OAK @ SD SD 55.8% Weak SD DAL @ NYG NYG 57.3% Weak NYG PHI @ CAR PHI 60.2% Weak CAR BAL @ ARI BAL 59.6% Weak ARI

Week 7 NFL Power Rankings

As usual we will compare to the current "expert" rankings on ESPN. 

Week 7 Power Rankings:
 Note: Disagree is denoted by a disagreement of >5 spots between ranking systems.

	Rankings	Sprockets Ranking	Disagree	ESPN Ranking
	1	NE		NE
	2	NYJ	***	GB
	3	PIT	***	DEN
	4	GB		ARI
	5	CIN		CIN
	6	PHI		CAR
	7	SF	***	ATL
	8	ATL		NYJ
	9	SEA		PHI
	10	NYG		PIT
	11	DEN	***	IND
	12	BUF		SEA
	13	CAR	***	SD
	14	WAS	***	NYG
	15	MIN		MIN
	16	BAL	***	DAL
	17	MIA		BUF
	18	DAL		STL
	19	SD	***	SF
	20	CLE	***	NO
	21	IND	***	MIA
	22	KC		WAS
	23	STL		OAK
	24	OAK		DET
	25	NO	***	CHI
	26	ARI	***	HOU
	27	HOU		CLE
	28	TEN		BAL
	29	DET		KC
	30	JAX		TEN
	31	TB		TB
	32	CHI		JAX

Take home message:  Cardinals and Saints are over rated. Jets and Steelers are underrated!

NFL Week 6 Picks- Man Vs. Machine

Week 5 had Man with one more correct prediction. We are now all tied up at 30. Both Man and Machine are at 71% both picking 30 games out of 42 so far. Not too shabby!

This week's games to watch are the CIN @ BUF and HOU @ JAX. These two are pretty much a coin toss.

Five different predictions this week-Should be an exciting week of football!

Score:  MAN  30 (71%)  MACHINE  30 (71%)

Game	Machine Pick	Probability (Home)	Strength	Man PICK
CIN @ BUF	CIN	51.0%	Very Weak	CIN
KC @ MIN	MIN	54.8%	Weak	MIN
DEN @ CLE	DEN	60.9%	Weak	DEN
CHI @ DET	DET	57.6%	Weak	DET
WAS @ NYJ	NYJ	62.4%	Medium	NYJ
ARI @ PIT	PIT	74.0%	Medium	ARI
HOU @ JAX	HOU	53.5%	Weak	JAX
MIA @ TEN	TEN	56.9%	Very Weak	MIA
CAR @ SEA	SEA	59.2%	Weak	SEA
SD @ GB	GB	70.9%	Strong	GB
BAL @ SF	SF	65.3%	Medium	BAL
NE @ IND	NE	81.2%	Very Strong	NE
NYG @ PHI	NYG	58.0%	Weak	PHI

NFL Week 5 Picks- Man Vs. Machine

Week 4 was a tie with both the Man and Machine both picking 9 out of 14 picks. Splitting two games (NYJ/MIA and DAL/NO).

This week's games to watch are the SEA @ CIN and ARI @ DET. These two are pretty much a coin toss. Since the probabilities do not take into account home field advantage it is likely the Machine predictions are more on the side of CIN and DET.

Score:            MAN  21            MACHINE   22

Game	Machine Pick	Probability (Home)	Strength	Man Pick
CHI @ KC	KC	74.2%	Medium	KC
SEA @ CIN	SEA	50.9%	Low	CIN
WAS @ ATL	ATL	64.7%	Medium	ATL
JAX @ TB	JAX	60.0%	Low	JAX
NO @ PHI	PHI	70.0%	Medium	PHI
CLE @ BAL	BAL	62.3%	Low	BAL
STL @ GB	GB	70.8%	Medium	GB
BUF @ TEN	BUF	71.9%	Medium	BUF
ARI @ DET	DET	51.0%	Very Low	ARI
NE @ DAL	NE	68.0%	Low	NE
DEN @ OAK	DEN	69.3%	Medium	DEN
SF @ NYG	NYG	52.4%	Low	NYG
PIT @ SD	PIT	77.2%	Medium	SD

Week 5 NFL Power Rankings

We are back with our weekly rankings. 

Click here to re-read what the hell we are doing to come up with these rankings. 

As usual we will compare to the current "expert" rankings on ESPN.  

Week 5 Power Rankings:
 Note: Disagree is denoted by a disagreement of >5 spots between ranking systems.

	Rankings	Sprockets Ranking	Disagree	ESPN Ranking
	1	NE		NE
	2	PIT	***	GB
	3	NYG	***	DEN
	4	ATL		ARI
	5	GB		CIN
	6	SF	***	ATL
	7	NYJ		SEA
	8	CIN		CAR
	9	BUF		NYJ
	10	SEA		PIT
	11	DEN	***	STL
	12	DAL		BUF
	13	PHI	***	DAL
	14	WAS		MIN
	15	BAL		NYG
	16	KC		IND
	17	CAR	***	SD
	18	MIN		KC
	19	STL	***	BAL
	20	MIA	***	OAK
	21	SD		NO
	22	DET		PHI
	23	TEN		TEN
	24	HOU		WAS
	25	OAK		CLE
	26	IND	***	DET
	27	ARI	***	SF
	28	CLE		HOU
	29	NO	***	CHI
	30	JAX		MIA
	31	TB		JAX
	32	CHI		TB

Take home message: Lots of discrepancy as can be expected this early in the season. Lots of variability still going on. Watch out for the Giants who may actually be better than people think. On the other hand seems like the Cardinals and the Colts may not be worth the hype. Remember this takes into account how much and who you lost to. 

MAN VS. Machine - Week 4 Picks

Week 3 was a close one to kick off the challenge. There was only a 3 selection difference between Man and Machine. Machine went up 2-1 on these difference taking a 1 point pick victory by the end of the  first week. This week looks like another close one.

Note: Still no home-field adjustments and still large variability in the model as we are still early on in the season.

Score:            MAN  12            MACHINE   13

Here are the week 4 picks:

Game	Machine Pick	Probability (Home)	Strength	Man PICK
NYJ @ MIA	NYJ	58.20%	Weak	MIA
CAR @ TB	CAR	80.80%	Medium	CAR
NYG @ BUF	BUF	65.40%	Weak	BUF
OAK @ CHI	OAK	56.30%	Weak	OAK
HOU @ ATL	ATL	60.80%	Weak	ATL
JAC @ IND	IND	77.20%	Medium	IND
KC @ CIN	CIN	54.10%	Very Weak	CIN
PHI @ WAS	PHI	81.70%	Medium	PHI
CLE @ SD	SD	82.10%	Medium	SD
MIN @ DEN	DEN	68.10%	Medium	DEN
STL @ ARI	ARI	58.30%	Weak	ARI
GB @ SF	GB	55.20%	Weak	GB
DAL @ NO	DAL	74.90%	Weak	NO
DET @ SEA	SEA	67.50%	Weak	SEA