Sprockets is back and this year with a challenge/experiment. Every week the Sprockets machine (model) will go up against a skilled expert to see how it performs (MAN). There is a steak dinner on the line. We will keep track of the picks for both until week 17 and see how well I do against "knowledge" based picks. I predict the model will perform better and better as the season goes on and gets more information. Stay Tuned!
Some adjustments have been (later post) and will be made to the model to predict the games. Still working on how to best (if at all) adjust for home-field advantage! I will be posting the power rankings after this week.
Some adjustments have been (later post) and will be made to the model to predict the games. Still working on how to best (if at all) adjust for home-field advantage! I will be posting the power rankings after this week.
Score: MAN 0 MACHINE 0
Without any further ado here are the week 3 picks:
| Game | Machine Pick | Probability | Strength | Man PICK |
| ATL @ DAL | DAL | 75.19 | Weak | ATL |
| IND @ TEN | IND | 93.91 | Strong | IND |
| Oak @ CLE | OAK | 70.92 | Weak | OAK |
| CIN @ BAL | CIN | 57.47 | Weak | CIN |
| JAX @ NE | NE | 96.15 | Strong | NE |
| NO @ CAR | CAR | 59.35 | Weak | CAR |
| PHI @ NYJ | PHI | 68.97 | Weak | NYJ |
| TB @ HOU | HOU | 89.63 | Medium | HOU |
| SD @ MIN | SD | 69.93 | Weak | SD |
| PIT @ STL | PIT | 86.52 | Medium | PIT |
| SF @ ARI | ARI | 65.64 | Weak | ARI |
| BUF @ MIA | BUF | 75.79 | Weak | MIA |
| CHI @ SEA | SEA | 77.52 | Weak | SEA |
| DEN @ DET | DEN | 70.59 | Weak | DEN |
| KC @ GB | GB | 63.5 | Weak | GB |
